Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo2 - 0Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 LDU Quito
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Botafogo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
34.94% ( 0.38) | 28.72% ( 0.14) | 36.34% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.13% ( -0.48) | 60.87% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.1% ( -0.36) | 80.9% ( 0.37) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( 0) | 32.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.54% ( 0) | 69.46% |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.03% ( -0.57) | 31.97% ( 0.58) |