Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
