Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Kalmar win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.