MX23RW : Sunday, September 8 02:17:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Hammarby

Kalmar
1 - 4
Hammarby

Skrabb (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tekie (29'), Pinas (62'), Erabi (66'), Gul (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Hammarby, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norrkoping 2-0 Kalmar
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Kalmar 0-2 Hammarby

Hammarby's resounding response to losing away at Mjallby has been admirable, and we are backing the fourth-placed side to keep that run going against the second-bottom Kalmar, who have lost a joint-high five matches on their turf this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawHammarby
33.68% (0.107 0.11) 25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 41.19% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (0.287 0.29)46.73% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (0.268 0.27)68.99% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.203 0.2)26.67% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.269 0.27)61.92% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.097999999999999 0.1)22.59% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.149 0.15)56.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 33.68%
    Hammarby 41.19%
    Draw 25.13%
KalmarDrawHammarby
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.68%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.19%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Hammarby

Kalmar
20.0%
Draw
11.4%
Hammarby
68.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 1
Hammarby
3-1
Kalmar
Besara (14'), Sjostedt (17' og.), Erabi (82')
Skoglund (66')
Hallberg (25')
Magashy (67')
Aug 20, 2023 4.30pm
Jul 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Hammarby
3-1
Kalmar
Erabi (11'), Dukanovic (32'), Tekie (90+9')
Shamoun (76')
Shamoun (85'), Jensen (86')
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hammarby
4-2
Kalmar
Ludwigson (3', 58'), Jeahze (63'), Lindahl (81' og.)
Nanasi (53'), Berg (70')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Kalmar
2-0
Hammarby
Shamoun (35', 38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo21153353193448
2HammarbyHammarby21123637201739
3Djurgardens IFDjurgarden20122633221138
4Mjallby AIF2111373428636
5AIK FotbollAIK2111283435-135
6ElfsborgElfsborg21103842321033
7GAISGAIS2110382525033
8HackenHacken209564235732
9SiriusSirius219483531431
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna216873641-526
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2173112845-1724
12IFK GoteborgGoteborg2156102132-1121
13Halmstads BKHalmstad2170142339-1621
14Varnamo2155112232-1020
15Vasteras SKVasteras2153131829-1118
16KalmarKalmar2153132745-1818


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