MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 01:34:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Hammarby

Kalmar
1 - 4
Hammarby

Skrabb (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tekie (29'), Pinas (62'), Erabi (66'), Gul (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Hammarby, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norrkoping 2-0 Kalmar
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Kalmar 0-2 Hammarby

Hammarby's resounding response to losing away at Mjallby has been admirable, and we are backing the fourth-placed side to keep that run going against the second-bottom Kalmar, who have lost a joint-high five matches on their turf this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawHammarby
33.68% (0.107 0.11) 25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 41.19% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (0.287 0.29)46.73% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (0.268 0.27)68.99% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.203 0.2)26.67% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.269 0.27)61.92% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.097999999999999 0.1)22.59% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.149 0.15)56.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 33.68%
    Hammarby 41.19%
    Draw 25.13%
KalmarDrawHammarby
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.68%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.19%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Hammarby

Kalmar
20.0%
Draw
11.4%
Hammarby
68.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 1
Hammarby
3-1
Kalmar
Besara (14'), Sjostedt (17' og.), Erabi (82')
Skoglund (66')
Hallberg (25')
Magashy (67')
Aug 20, 2023 4.30pm
Jul 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Hammarby
3-1
Kalmar
Erabi (11'), Dukanovic (32'), Tekie (90+9')
Shamoun (76')
Shamoun (85'), Jensen (86')
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hammarby
4-2
Kalmar
Ludwigson (3', 58'), Jeahze (63'), Lindahl (81' og.)
Nanasi (53'), Berg (70')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Kalmar
2-0
Hammarby
Shamoun (35', 38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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