Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.