Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Djurgardens IF in this match.