Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Gabon2 - 2Morocco
We said: Gabon 1-1 Morocco
While Morocco head into the game in fine form, Gabon have been superb in the history of this fixture, losing just once in their last eight meetings. We predict they will cancel out the efforts of the Atlas Lions and force a share of the spoils to book their place in the knockout stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Morocco |
| 31.74% | 27.67% | 40.59% |
| Both teams to score 48.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
