Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Zambia3 - 2Sierra Leone
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Zambia and Sierra Leone.
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-0 Zambia
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-0 Chad
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Sierra Leone |
52.66% ( -0.48) | 25.82% ( 0.25) | 21.51% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.64% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
