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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea-Bissau national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 0
Eswatini

Nogueira (14')
Balde (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dlamini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Egypt
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Eswatini

Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Guinea-Bissau 2-0 Eswatini

 Guinea-Bissau will be licking their lips as they take on a struggling Eswatini side who have failed to win their last six matches across all competitions. Morte's men have won the last two meetings between the two nations, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two nations, we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawEswatini
24.18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 28.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 47.25% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.4% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)63.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.93% (-0.023 -0.02)83.07% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)43.09% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)79.36% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)62.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 24.18%
    Eswatini 47.24%
    Draw 28.56%
Guinea-BissauDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 5.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.18%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 15.26% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.3% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4%
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Eswatini

Guinea-Bissau
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Eswatini
0.0%
18
rhs 2.0
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