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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde
Mauritania national football team

Cape Verde
2 - 0
Mauritania

Mendes (28' pen., 75')
Pina (24'), Borges (42'), Andrade (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fofana (4'), Mouhsine (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cape Verde and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Cape Verde
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania

 Cape Verde are slight favourites heading into this clash as a result of their home form and Mauritania's struggles this year - while the Blue Sharks lost woefully in their last game, the level of opposition they faced was on a different stratosphere, and is no indication of their quality as a team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawMauritania
54.49% (0.12 0.12) 28.89% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 16.63% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 32.47% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.66%70.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)87.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)26.87% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.18% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.4% (-0.113 -0.11)55.6% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.76% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)88.24% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 54.49%
    Mauritania 16.63%
    Draw 28.88%
Cape VerdeDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 19.63% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 54.49%
0-0 @ 14.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: Cape Verde vs Mauritania

Cape Verde
85.2%
Draw
7.4%
Mauritania
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2024 5pm
Round of 16
Cape Verde
1-0
Mauritania
Mendes (88' pen.)
Pina (11')

Niasse (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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