World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Moldova1 - 4Israel
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Israel |
| 33.03% | 27.33% | 39.64% |
| Both teams to score 49.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
