UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadionul Zimbru

Moldova
0 - 4
Slovenia

Nicolaescu (40'), Platica (54')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Lovric (8'), Vuckic (37' pen., 42', 55' pen.)
Bijol (26')

Coverage of the Nations League League C clash between Moldova and Slovenia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.39%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Slovenia
11.1%	19.23%	69.67%

Both teams to score 42.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.39%

48.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.27%

70.73%

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.09%

50.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.72%

85.28%

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2%

12.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.89%

39.11%

Score Analysis

Moldova 11.1%

Slovenia 69.67%

Draw 19.23%

Moldova	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 4.4% 2-1 @ 3.05% 2-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.16% Total : 11.1%	1-1 @ 9.04% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.23%	0-2 @ 13.77% 0-1 @ 13.39% 0-3 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 9.3% 1-3 @ 6.37% 0-4 @ 4.85% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-5 @ 1.99% 1-5 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.68% Total : 69.67%