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Italy national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Moldova national football team

Italy
6 - 0
Moldova

Cristante (19'), Caputo (23'), El Shaarawy (30', 45+1'), Posmac (38' og.), Berardi (72')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Carp (3'), Rata (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's international friendly between Italy and Moldova, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up for Wednesday's international friendly with Moldova in Florence.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 76.86%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 7.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawMoldova
76.86%15.88%7.26%
Both teams to score 37.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89%46.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59%68.41%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85%10.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.63%33.37%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.18%57.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.5%89.5%
Score Analysis
    Italy 76.84%
    Moldova 7.26%
    Draw 15.88%
ItalyDrawMoldova
2-0 @ 15.35%
1-0 @ 13.42%
3-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.41%
4-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 6.42%
4-1 @ 3.67%
5-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.68%
6-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 76.84%
1-1 @ 7.36%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.88%
0-1 @ 3.22%
1-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 7.26%

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