Nations League | League A
Sep 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Netherlands0 - 1Italy
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Italy |
| 36.81% | 24.16% | 39.03% |
| Both teams to score 60.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% | 41.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% | 64.09% |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% | 22.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.84% | 56.16% |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% | 21.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.53% | 54.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Netherlands 36.81%
Italy 39.03%
Draw 24.16%
| Netherlands | Draw | Italy |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.03% |
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2014 7.45pm
Jun 15, 2013 7.30pm
Form Guide
