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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Italy national football team

Netherlands
0 - 1
Italy


Veltman (69'), Wijnaldum (84'), Depay (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barella (45+1')
D'Ambrosio (23'), Cristante (84'), Chiellini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Italy, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawItaly
36.81%24.16%39.03%
Both teams to score 60.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31%41.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91%64.09%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84%56.16%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53%54.47%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 36.81%
    Italy 39.03%
    Draw 24.16%
NetherlandsDrawItaly
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.03%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-1
Netherlands
Zaza (67')
Chiesa (75'), Zaza (89')
Criscito (69')
Ake (88')
de Roon (28'), Vormer (43'), Janmaat (90')
> Match Report
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
1-2
Italy
Romagnoli (10' og.)
Eder (11'), Bonucci (32')
Rugani (48')
Sep 4, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
2-0
Netherlands
Immobile (3'), De Rossi (10' pen.)
Verratti (74')

Martins Indi (9')
> Match Report
Jun 15, 2013 7.30pm
Semi-finals
Italy
1-0
Netherlands
Borini
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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