Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.28%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Women would win this match.