Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 5.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.37%) and 0-1 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.