Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 31, 2024 at 8pm UK

Caixa Futebol Campus

Benfica
4 - 4
Barcelona

Alidou (26', 45'), da Silva (71'), Bronze (81' og.)
Seica (41'), Costa (70')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Graham Hansen (18', 54'), Guijarro (20'), Bronze (90+6')
Batlle (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Benfica Women and Barcelona Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica Women

Last Game: Rosengard 2-2 Benfica
Thursday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Barcelona Women

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, January 25 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 70.4%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Benfica Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
12.56% ( 0.01)	17.04% ( 0.07)	70.4% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.27% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.3% (

-0.33)

34.69% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.35% (

-0.37)

56.65% (

0.37)

Benfica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6% (

-0.21)

39.4% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.9% (

-0.19)

76.1% (

0.19)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.21% (

-0.1)

8.79% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.84% (

-0.25)

30.16% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Benfica Women 12.56%

Barcelona Women 70.39%

Draw 17.04%

Benfica Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
2-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.56%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.04%	0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 70.39%