Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Druids had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Druids win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.