Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay1 - 5New Saints
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
93
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
15.66% ( -0.25) | 17.53% ( -0.12) | 66.8% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.36% ( 0.07) | 29.63% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.24% ( 0.08) | 50.75% ( -0.08) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% ( -0.25) | 31.87% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( -0.28) | 68.31% ( 0.28) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.73% ( 0.1) | 8.27% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.12% ( 0.24) | 28.87% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads 15.66%
The New Saints 66.8%
Draw 17.53%
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 15.66% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.82% Total : 66.8% |
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
6-2
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
0-0
New Saints
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-28 23:15:03
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Bala TownBala Town | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
5 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 15 |
6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
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