Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.