Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.