Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.