Nacional

2 - 1

Liverpool

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.