Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.