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Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 12am UK
 
Colombia national football team

Uruguay
0 - 0
Colombia


Bentancur (15')
FT

Uribe (50'), Cuadrado (63'), Mojica (90')

Preview: Uruguay vs. Colombia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both embroiled in the battle for two likely remaining qualification places, Uruguay host Colombia in South American World Cup Qualifying on Friday.

Leading their CONMEBOL counterparts by two points - and two places - in the table, La Celeste will not want to cede ground to one of their direct rivals for a ticket to Qatar 2022.


Match preview

Uruguay's Edison Cavani celebrates scoring their first goal with Rodrigo Bentancur on June 29, 2021© Reuters

Following a productive international period last month, when they picked up seven points from a possible nine in the forbidding qualification process for next year's World Cup, third-placed Uruguay return to action seeking to secure their status as favourites to qualify behind Argentina and Brazil.

Having drawn in Peru and then comfortably defeated lowly Bolivia, the Celeste were 1-0 winners in a potentially decisive clash with Ecuador, in which they were indebted to Gaston Pereiro's stoppage-time winner at Estadio Campeon del Siglo.

That upturn in fortunes was warmly welcomed by Oscar Tabarez's side, as a loss to Brazil and disappointing draws with Paraguay and Venezuela in the previous three games had jeopardised their hold on a top-four place.

The legendary Tabarez had then seen his squad play out a goalless draw in their Copa America quarter-final versus this Friday's visitors, where they ultimately crashed out on penalties in the competition's first knockout round.

As a team packed with top-tier European experience, Uruguay are now expected to seal a fourth successive finals place by the end of the laborious South American qualifying series, which has only just entered its second half after nine previous rounds.

Keeping at bay one of their fellow contenders to make next year's global gathering will be high among their targets on Friday, as with successive trips to Argentina and Brazil coming up next week, they will not want to risk dropping into the playoff place for finishing fifth - or even missing out entirely.

Colombia's Davinson Sanchez with teammates after the match against Paraguay on September 5, 2021© Reuters

Beating Chile in Barranquilla last month marked a first win in four qualifying games for Colombia, who were among the favourites to progress at the start of the campaign. A quickfire double from striker Miguel Borja inside the first 20 minutes gave La Tricolor a lead they would never relinquish, with a 3-1 victory keeping them very much in the mix for automatic qualification.

Ahead of the 10th round of fixtures in the CONMEBOL region, Colombia sit fifth in the standings and are locked together on points with Ecuador, who they trail only on goal difference.

Just two wins from their opening eight qualification fixtures had put coach Reinaldo Rueda under severe pressure, but the former Ecuador and Honduras boss then managed to steer his talented squad to a place on the podium at the Copa America, with a commendable third place finish in Brazil.

Subsequent draws away to Bolivia and Paraguay may have underwhelmed, but that victory over the Chileans last time out has boosted hopes of reaching a third straight World Cup finals, after a previous absence of 16 years.

Despite their shootout success against them in the summer, Colombia were well beaten by Uruguay last time they met in qualifying, though.

Back in November of last year, they succumbed to goals from three of their rivals' fearsome attacking department, as Edinson Cavani, Luis Suarez and ascendant Benfica striker Darwin Nunez netted in a 3-0 defeat for Rueda's side.

Therefore, they will afford their first opponents of the coming week's triple-header the utmost respect - particularly on home soil at Parque Central.

Uruguay World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Uruguay form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Colombia World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Colombia form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Uruguay's Edinson Cavani pictured on June 24, 2021© Reuters

Having suffered without star strikers Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani - numbers one and two in their all-time top scorers rankings respectively - during their September fixtures, Uruguay can now call upon both for the visit of Colombia.

The vastly experienced Oscar Tabarez was forced to improvise last month, as Agustin Alvarez, Maxi Gomez and Brian Rodriguez all featured in attack, but Gomez has been excluded after experiencing a difficult start to La Liga this term, and the others will return to bit-part roles.

Flamengo playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta notched three times in the last qualification spell, so will be expecting to start again, though Rodrigo Bentancur, Matias Vecino and Nahitan Nandez are among more prosaic options available to Tabarez on Friday.

As ever, the Celeste's rearguard will be led by the veteran pairing of goalkeeper Fernando Muslera (with 126 caps to his name) and centre-back Diego Godin (148).

Amid reports that Rangers striker Alfredo Morelos could be set for a late call to join the Colombia squad, the visitors' coach Reinaldo Rueda is contemplating how to formulate his forward line following an injury to Miguel Borja.

Meanwhile, Porto's Luis Diaz, who has scored five goals from his ten most recent international appearances, plus Atalanta forward Duvan Zapata - who has yet to excel for his country - are other contenders to join the rejuvenated Radamel Falcao up front.

After the Colombian FA opted not to select any British-based stars last month due to quarantining complications, the defensive duo of Davinson Sanchez and Yerry Mina are now back in harness, with Bournemouth's Jefferson Lerma also in Rueda's 26-man squad. The former pair should start, while the latter has stiff competition for a midfield spot from Wilmar Barrios and Andres Uribe.

Uruguay possible starting lineup:
Muslera; Nandez, Godin, Gimenez, Vina; Valverde, Bentancur, Vecino, De Arrascaeta; Suarez, Cavani

Colombia possible starting lineup:
Ospina; Medina, Sanchez, Mina, Tesillo; Cuadrado, Barrios, Uribe, Diaz; Zapata, Falcao


SM words green background

We say: Uruguay 1-1 Colombia

There will be an abundance of talent available to both teams' wily managers on Friday, with a fine blend of invaluable experience and youthful promise lending this encounter an unmissable feel.

Despite Uruguay's crushing victory in Colombia last year, on this occasion the two nations are too tough to split, and may also be inclined to keep something in reserve for some challenging fixtures during the next week.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.88%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Uruguay vs Colombia

Uruguay
57.3%
Draw
30.3%
Colombia
12.4%
89
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CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Argentina Argentina1281325
2 Uruguay flag Uruguay1255220
3 Ecuador flag Ecuador1264219
4 Colombia Colombia1254319
5 Brazil Brazil1253418
6 Paraguay flag Paraguay1245317
7 Bolivia flag Bolivia1241713
8 Venezuela Venezuela1226412
9 Chile Chile122379
10 Peru flag Peru121477

CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Argentina Argentina1281325
2 Ecuador flag Ecuador1264222
3 Uruguay flag Uruguay1255220
4 Colombia Colombia1254319
5 Brazil Brazil1253418
6 Paraguay flag Paraguay1245317
7 Bolivia flag Bolivia1241713
8 Venezuela Venezuela1226412
9 Chile Chile122379
10 Peru flag Peru121477


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