European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cluj Arena
France U21s2 - 1Italy U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands U21s 2-1 France U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Italy U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Italy Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Norway Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: France Under-21s 1-1 Italy Under-21s
Neither team suffered a single defeat during qualifying, highlighting the standard of their current Under-21 crops. Aware that they are clear favourites to prevail in their remaining group fixtures, avoiding defeat may become a priority during the latter stages, and we would not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for France Under-21s had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest France Under-21s win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
France Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
24.14% ( 0.11) | 24.02% ( 0.01) | 51.85% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.04% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% ( 0.08) | 47.36% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% ( 0.08) | 69.58% ( -0.07) |
France Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% ( 0.14) | 33.9% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.43% ( 0.15) | 70.57% ( -0.14) |
Italy Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( -0.01) | 18.26% ( 0.01) |