Neither team suffered a single defeat during qualifying, highlighting the standard of their current Under-21 crops. Aware that they are clear favourites to prevail in their remaining group fixtures, avoiding defeat may become a priority during the latter stages, and we would not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for France Under-21s had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest France Under-21s win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
France Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
24.14% ( 0.11)	24.02% ( 0.01)	51.85% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

0.08)

47.36% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

0.08)

69.58% (

-0.07)

France Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

0.14)

33.9% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

0.15)

70.57% (

-0.14)

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0.01)

18.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

-0.02)

49.31% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

France Under-21s 24.14%

Italy Under-21s 51.84%

Draw 24.01%

France Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.14%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.84%