European Under-21s Championship | Quarter-finals
May 31, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Portugal U21s5 - 3Italy U21s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Italy Under-21s had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%).
| Result | ||
| Portugal Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 51.35% | 24.03% | 24.62% |
| Both teams to score 54.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
