Swiss Super League | Gameweek 14

Nov 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Stade de Geneve

Servette
4 - 1
Basel

Guillemenot (45', 90+3'), Crivelli (60'), Cognat (81')
Lele Diba (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Xhaka (21')
Sigua (18')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Servette and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Servette

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Servette 2-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Basel

All competitions

Last Game: Basel 2-1 Yverdon Sport
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Basel had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.

Result
Servette	Draw	Basel
51.78% ( -0.09)	22.4% ( 0.13)	25.83% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.37% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

-0.66)

38.48% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

-0.7)

60.78% (

0.7)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97% (

-0.26)

15.03% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.49% (

-0.5)

43.51% (

0.5)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

-0.39)

27.77% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

-0.5)

63.35% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Servette 51.78%

Basel 25.83%

Draw 22.39%

Servette	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.03% Total : 51.78%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 25.83%