Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.