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Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 1
Jul 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Schutzenwiese
St Gallen

Winterthur
1 - 0
St Gallen

Di Giusto (70')
Rohner (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gortler (76'), Quintilla (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and St Gallen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 Winterthur
Saturday, May 25 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 1-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, May 25 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: FC Winterthur 1-2 St Gallen

While Winterthur have made massive strides forward over the last couple of years, last season's playoff round proved they still have a bit more work to do to close the gap between themselves and the top five. While an away game to kick the season off is not ideal, St. Gallen have had a solid preseason, and we feel they will get the new campaign underway with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawSt Gallen
46.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 23.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.54% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (0.012 0.01)41.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)63.5% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06%48.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.19% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 46.23%
    St Gallen 30.16%
    Draw 23.61%
FC WinterthurDrawSt Gallen
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.16%

How you voted: Winterthur vs St Gallen

FC Winterthur
44.4%
Draw
5.6%
St Gallen
50.0%
18
Head to Head
May 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 37
Winterthur
1-3
St Gallen
Burkart (84')
Baroan (76'), Ltaief (79')
Akolo (12'), Zanotti (31'), Witzig (85')
Ruiz (80')
Feb 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 24
St Gallen
2-2
Winterthur
Milosevic (6'), Toma (57')
Zanotti (49')
Zanotti (71')
Fofana (46'), Burkart (77')
Arnold (70'), Burkart (88'), Corbaz (90+3')
Nov 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
St Gallen
4-2
Winterthur
Akolo (20', 22', 46'), Vonmoos (29')
Zeidler (36'), Zanotti (41'), Schmidt (45+1'), Stanic (49'), Karlen (68'), Ati-Zigi (70'), Quintilla (86'), Fazliji (90+4')
Arnold (13'), Ltaief (51')
Turkes (35')
Oct 22, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 11
Winterthur
2-1
St Gallen
Turkes (55'), Di Giusto (63')
Rahmen (7'), Jankewitz (15'), Sidler (20'), Turkes (35'), Schattin (58'), Ltaief (58'), Diaby (80'), Keller (90+6'), Buess (90+7')
Quintilla (90+4')
Witzig (6'), Stanic (56'), Vallci (58'), Watkowiak (58'), Vonmoos (62'), Schubert (78')
Apr 16, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 28
St Gallen
2-3
Winterthur
Schmidt (18'), Guillemenot (28')
Burkart (7'), Di Giusto (37', 43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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