Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
FC Winterthur	Draw	St Gallen
31.66% ( 0.43)	23.31% ( -0.01)	45.03% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 62.49% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.1% (

0.24)

38.9% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.78% (

0.25)

61.21% (

-0.25)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

0.37)

24.12% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

0.52)

58.42% (

-0.52)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

-0.07)

17.65% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74% (

-0.12)

48.26% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

FC Winterthur 31.66%

St Gallen 45.03%

Draw 23.31%

FC Winterthur	Draw	St Gallen
2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.66%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.92% Total : 45.03%

Head to Head

Feb 17, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 24

St Gallen

2-2

Winterthur

Milosevic (6'), Toma (57')
Zanotti (49')
Zanotti (71')

Fofana (46'), Burkart (77')
Arnold (70'), Burkart (88'), Corbaz (90+3')

Nov 11, 2023 5pm

Gameweek 14

St Gallen

4-2

Winterthur

Akolo (20', 22', 46'), Vonmoos (29')
Zeidler (36'), Zanotti (41'), Schmidt (45+1'), Stanic (49'), Karlen (68'), Ati-Zigi (70'), Quintilla (86'), Fazliji (90+4')

Arnold (13'), Ltaief (51')
Turkes (35')

Oct 22, 2023 1.15pm

Gameweek 11

Winterthur

2-1

St Gallen

Turkes (55'), Di Giusto (63')
Rahmen (7'), Jankewitz (15'), Sidler (20'), Turkes (35'), Schattin (58'), Ltaief (58'), Diaby (80'), Keller (90+6'), Buess (90+7')

Quintilla (90+4')
Witzig (6'), Stanic (56'), Vallci (58'), Watkowiak (58'), Vonmoos (62'), Schubert (78')

Apr 16, 2023 1.15pm

Gameweek 28

St Gallen

2-3

Winterthur

Schmidt (18'), Guillemenot (28')

Burkart (7'), Di Giusto (37', 43')

Mar 19, 2023 1.15pm

Gameweek 25

Winterthur

1-0