MX23RW : Friday, November 22 07:48:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Umraniyespor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 13
Nov 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Umraniyespor
3 - 1
Alanyaspor

Nayir (21', 69'), Geraldo (38')
Atasayar (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Eduardo (56')
Fer (7'), Bayir (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Umraniyespor and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 5-2 Umraniyespor
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-0 Gaziantep
Saturday, October 29 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Umraniyespor 0-1 Alanyaspor

Given their torrid run so far, we expect that Umraniyespor will once again be defeated on Friday, particularly given Alanyaspor have started to turn around their form recently. The home side do not normally lose by many though, so we expect it to be another loss by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umraniyespor would win this match.

Result
UmraniyesporDrawAlanyaspor
41.61% (-0.509 -0.51) 24.06% (-0.093 -0.09) 34.33% (0.605 0.61)
Both teams to score 60.77% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (0.598 0.6)41.58% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (0.602 0.6)63.98% (-0.601 -0.6)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)20.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)52.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.624 0.62)23.85% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.886 0.89)58.04% (-0.885 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Umraniyespor 41.61%
    Alanyaspor 34.33%
    Draw 24.05%
UmraniyesporDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.33%

How you voted: Umraniyespor vs Alanyaspor

Umraniyespor
13.5%
Draw
16.2%
Alanyaspor
70.3%
37
rhs 2.0
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