Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 2pm UK

Sivas Stadium

Sivasspor
2 - 1
Kayserispor

Felix (21'), Atakan Kesgin (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardoso (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sivasspor 1-1 Kayserispor

While this may appear to be a dead rubber on the face of it, both sides could learn a lot about the other, with the next time they meet after this clash, a trophy and European football being on the line instead. Expect a sluggish affair, with neither side looking to give away their tactics ahead of the cup final, with a draw the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.

Result
Sivasspor	Draw	Kayserispor
56.12% ( 0.12)	24.13% ( -0.14)	19.75% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.93% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43% (

0.57)

52.57% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

0.48)

74.23% (

-0.48)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.41% (

0.26)

18.59% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.13% (

0.44)

49.87% (

-0.43)

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.88% (

0.35)

41.12% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.34% (

0.31)

77.66% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Sivasspor 56.11%

Kayserispor 19.75%

Draw 24.13%

Sivasspor	Draw	Kayserispor
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.75%