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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylul Stadyumu

Sivasspor
2 - 2
Gaziantep

Manaj (8' pen., 15' pen.)
Kvet (18'), Manaj (37'), Kapacak (63')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dragus (29'), Djilobodji (41')
Mbakata (6'), Jevtovic (44'), Dragus (48'), Maxim (69')
Maxim (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-1 Fenerbahce
Sunday, January 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Sivasspor 1-1 Gaziantep

Sivasspor boast a strong historical record in this fixture, but their home form this season has been a major worry, and this could prove to be their undoing on Sunday. Gaziantep, by contrast, have put in some decent performances on their travels recently, and they appear capable of snatching a point come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SivassporDrawGaziantep
62.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 16.06% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)48.82% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)70.92% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83%15.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67% (-0.138 -0.14)43.34% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43% (-0.116 -0.12)79.57% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 62.12%
    Gaziantep 16.06%
    Draw 21.81%
SivassporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 62.12%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 16.06%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Gaziantep

Sivasspor
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gaziantep
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Gaziantep
1-3
Sivasspor
Soyalp (50')
Stankovski (35'), Kizildag (39'), Jevtovic (46'), Khacef (52'), Bikel (86'), (90+7'), Djilobodji (90+4')
Saiz (12'), Osmanpasa (44'), Rodrigues (84')
Osmanpasa (5'), Rodrigues (65'), Charisis (90+4')
Apr 5, 2023
6.30pm
Jan 22, 2023 10.30am
Aug 6, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sivasspor
1-1
Gaziantep
Gradel (64' pen.)
Osmanpasa (31'), Yatabare (84')
Maxim (22')
Djilobodji (39'), Hanousek (61'), Soyalp (67')
Feb 5, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Gaziantep
5-1
Sivasspor
Djilobodji (6', 41'), Demir (12'), Maxim (70' pen.), Soyalp (76')
Demir (45+6'), Vetrih (61'), Kitsiou (80'), Sagal (86')
Goutas (29')
Cofie (59'), Gradel (61'), Osmanpasa (86')
Yatabare (63')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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