Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17

Dec 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
3 - 1
Sivasspor

Piatek (45' pen., 51' pen.), Pelkas (62')
Turuc (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saiz (26')
Ciftci (63'), Charisis (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Hatayspor
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sivasspor

All competitions

Last Game: Konyaspor 0-1 Sivasspor
Monday, December 11 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Sivasspor

With 10 goals scored in their last four at home, Basaksehir are averaging 2.5 goals in Istanbul, and their scoring prowess on home turf should see them claim consecutive league wins for the first time since June, ending their two-game winless run against Sivasspor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Sivasspor
56.25% ( -0.94)	23.95% ( 0.13)	19.79% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 48.51% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

0.49)

51.83% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

0.43)

73.59% (

-0.43)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.16)

18.27% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

-0.28)

49.32% (

0.27)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.35% (

1.18)

40.64% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.76% (

1.04)

77.23% (

-1.05)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 56.24%

Sivasspor 19.79%

Draw 23.95%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Sivasspor
1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.24%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.24% Total : 19.79%