Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.