Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 52.36%. A win for Denizlispor had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Denizlispor win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.