Both sides ended the first half of the season in relatively strong fashion, and there may be very little to choose between the sides here. Very few of the expected starting XI featured in Giresunspor's 5-0 defeat in midweek, so there should be no hangover from what was a shocking result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hatayspor	Draw	Giresunspor
48.88% ( 0.06)	24.5% ( 0.03)	26.62% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

-0.19)

47.36% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

-0.18)

69.58% (

0.18)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

-0.05)

19.43% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

-0.09)

51.26% (

0.09)

Giresunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

-0.17)

31.85% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71% (

-0.2)

68.29% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Hatayspor 48.87%

Giresunspor 26.62%

Draw 24.49%

Hatayspor	Draw	Giresunspor
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.87%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.62%