Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.