We said: Galatasaray 3-0 Istanbulspor
Galatasaray have not been as ruthless in attack as their city rivals Fenerbahce this season, but a 5-1 win at Trabzonspor proves they can turn on the style.
There is little hope for the Super Lig's bottom side here, as Gala should record a routine victory to keep the pressure on at the top.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 87.44%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 3.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.