Galatasaray

2 - 1

Kayserispor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.