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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
 
Union Berlin logo

Stuttgart
2 - 2
Union Berlin

Kalajdzic (85', 90')
Mavropanos (4'), Klimowicz (31'), Gonzalez (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Friedrich (4'), Awoniyi (77')
Promel (35'), Griesbeck (55'), Gogia (90+3')

Preview: Stuttgart vs. Union Berlin - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stuttgart take on Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Tuesday, with both sides full of confidence after recording surprise results at the weekend.

Stuttgart thrashed Borussia Dortmund 5-1 at the Westfalenstadion, while Union Berlin held European champions Bayern Munich to a 1-1 draw.


Match preview

Stuttgart manager Pellegrino Matarazzo pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Stuttgart have performed above expectations all season after gaining promotion last season, but few could have seen the margin of their victory at Dortmund coming.

Silas Wamangituka's penalty opened the scoring for the visitors, before Giovanni Reyna levelled proceedings heading into the break. However, Pellegrino Matarazzo's side ran riot in the second half, with Wamangituka bagging a brace before Philipp Forster, Tanguy Coulibaly and Nicolas Gonzalez embarrassed Lucien Favre's side.

Strangely, Stuttgart have performed much better on the road so far this season, remaining unbeaten with a hugely impressive 14 points from their six away games, actually failing to win any of their five home matches.

Matarazzo will certainly be hoping his side can break their duck at the Mercendes-Benz Arena on Tuesday, with a win taking them above their opponents and into the top six in the table.

Union Berlin's Max Kruse celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on November 22, 2020© Reuters

Union Berlin are the Bundesliga's other main overachievers so far this campaign, with Urs Fischer's side sitting in sixth place after 11 games in only their second ever top flight campaign.

Despite missing top goalscorer Max Kruse through injury and key midfielder Robert Andrich after his sending-off in the Berlin derby defeat, Union Berlin surprisingly held Bayern to a draw on Saturday.

Grischa Promel opened the scoring for the hosts in only the fourth minute, with Robert Lewandowski earning the Bavarians a point with a second-half strike.

While Bayern had much of the possession as was expected, Union Berlin matched Hansi Flick's tally of five shots on target, suggesting that it was a fully-deserved point in the end. Fischer and his players will take confidence from the fact they can compete with one of the best sides in Europe despite missing their most talented player in Kruse.

Stuttgart Bundesliga form: DDDLWW

Union Berlin Bundesliga form: WWWDLD


Team News

Union Berlin manager Urs Fischer pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Stuttgart's efforts this season are all the more impressive given the amount of injury issues they have had, with Atakan Karazor (knee), Erik Thommy (elbow), Momo Cisse (muscle), Hamadi Al Ghaddioui (groin), Maxime Awoudja, Daniel Didavi and Clinton Mola (all fitness) all unavailable for the visit of Union Berlin.

However, Gonzalez's return from the bench against Dortmund was a huge boost, with the Argentine forward in line for a return to the starting XI.

Union Berlin, meanwhile, will be without key player Kruse once again after the attacking midfielder tore a muscle last week.

Andrich returns from suspension, but Joel Pohjanpolo (ankle) and Anthony Ujah (knee) will not make the trip to Stuttgart.

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Mavropanos, Anton, Kempf; Wamangituka, Castro, Endo, Mangala, Forster; Coulibaly, Gonzalez

Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Luthe; Trimmel, Friedrich, Knoche, Lenz; Promel, Andrich; Becker, Ingvartsen, Bulter; Awoniyi


SM words green background

We say: Stuttgart 1-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin showed against Bayern that they are far from a one-man team, so we can envisage them picking up a positive result at a Stuttgart side who have failed to win any of their five home games this season.

The likes of Gonzalez, Gonzalo Castro and Wamangituka may have other ideas, though, with the hosts certainly boasting more attacking firepower.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:426373:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8716:
Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Stuttgart
57.7%
Draw
33.3%
Union Berlin
9.0%
78
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8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
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