Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.