Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Rogaska win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
Celje	Draw	Rogaska
67.18% ( 0.21)	19.13% ( -0.01)	13.69% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 50.99% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.11% (

-0.41)

41.89% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.71% (

-0.42)

64.29% (

0.42)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47% (

-0.06)

11.53% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.56% (

-0.14)

36.43% (

0.14)

Rogaska Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.63% (

-0.55)

42.37% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.25% (

-0.48)

78.75% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Celje 67.17%

Rogaska 13.69%

Draw 19.13%

Celje	Draw	Rogaska
2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 67.17%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.13%	0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.69%