Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Parma in this match.