Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Modena
47.58% ( 0.1)	25.95% ( -0.04)	26.47% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.27% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61% (

0.1)

53.38% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07% (

0.08)

74.92% (

-0.08)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56% (

0.08)

22.44% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03% (

0.13)

55.97% (

-0.13)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

35.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

71.93% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Como 47.57%

Modena 26.47%

Draw 25.94%

Como	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.57%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.47%