Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.