We said: Mirandes 1-2 Eibar
Mirandes have been relatively strong at home this season, picking up 29 points from 16 matches, but Eibar have the fourth-best away form in the division, and we are backing the visitors to secure what would be a huge three points on Monday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.