Scottish League Two | Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Station Park
Forfar0 - 1Elgin
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Forfar Athletic and Elgin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-2 Forfar
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Elgin 1-2 Stirling
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
33.25% ( 0.15) | 24.4% ( -0.07) | 42.35% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( 0.38) | 43.48% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.38) | 65.87% ( -0.38) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.27) | 25.37% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.83% ( 0.38) | 60.17% ( -0.38) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( 0.13) | 20.65% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.2) | 53.23% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Forfar Athletic 33.25%
Elgin City 42.35%
Draw 24.39%
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.35% |
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Elgin
0-1
Forfar
Armour (3')
Munro (30')
Munro (30')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Forfar
0-0
Elgin
Slater (45'), Brindley (62'), Moore (90+2')
Form Guide
