Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.